Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.488659 5.181253 5.944731 6.848770 7.890159 9.052370 10.448263
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.437557 4.314314 5.363126 6.710274 8.395457 10.435140 13.093899
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.858436 3.859614 5.145869 6.919714 9.304345 12.402502 16.740388
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.321894 3.347461 4.752037 6.816488 9.776749 13.874688 19.992185
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.075146 3.174572 4.769979 7.254168 11.030501 16.566983 25.325682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.839923 2.971479 4.702587 7.543963 12.099895 19.138727 30.880267
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.596951 2.711095 4.500520 7.583750 12.776356 21.195381 35.941867
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.323861 2.354095 4.085154 7.205373 12.705396 22.031157 39.123237
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.216213 2.258282 4.084551 7.517880 13.832862 24.997157 46.343016
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.155957 2.235443 4.203637 8.053045 15.422065 28.971023 55.926721
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.057493 2.125168 4.146015 8.249032 16.406057 31.970463 64.121933
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.961208 2.003493 4.047598 8.347922 17.209576 34.724342 72.219488
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.832928 1.802132 3.773167 8.073140 17.265139 36.098323 77.914317
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.717447 1.609224 3.487449 7.731178 17.129894 37.066893 82.920890
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.658529 1.529365 3.426568 7.860813 18.022982 40.314085 93.356262
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.582508 1.399102 3.237247 7.676469 18.191896 42.017298 100.606001
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.560450 1.390537 3.318918 8.125572 19.880255 47.358837 117.109824
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.529632 1.356029 3.335337 8.422199 21.252081 52.164945 133.081578
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.485792 1.282277 3.247241 8.449323 21.968434 55.511080 145.966604
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.422523 1.148808 2.992859 8.017677 21.461512 55.781237 151.051469
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.404847 1.132810 3.033346 8.358874 23.014563 61.474904 171.277816
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.399312 1.148942 3.159770 8.949552 25.325373 69.467983 198.978536
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.377462 1.116042 3.150242 9.164622 26.636279 74.980715 220.643082